Since you've withdrawn your HODL, no new tickets are being generated for you going forward, but you keep your existing tickets. At the same time, everybody in the pot are generating new tickets, so your 120,000 tickets turns into less and less % of the total tickets that exist as new ones are created every 4hrs. Due to this, your chance of winning after the next 24hrs will reduce to e.g. 7%. After another 24hrs at the next drawing it'll reduce even more to e.g. 5%.